{"id":10672,"date":"2026-07-11T09:29:20","date_gmt":"2026-07-11T09:29:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=10672"},"modified":"2026-07-11T09:29:20","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T09:29:20","slug":"bitcoins-64k-rebound-has-3-days-before-its-next-big-challenge-threatens-to-derail-momentum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=10672","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s $64K rebound has 3 days before its next big challenge threatens to derail momentum"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Bitcoin traded near $64,100 on Saturday as the clock ticked toward a key test for its rebound. June’s US consumer price index is due at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 14, leaving the market with about three days before the next major macro catalyst.<\/p>\n

The largest crypto asset had gained about 2.6% over seven days, according to CryptoSlate market data, but 24-hour volume was running 21% below its recent average. Bitcoin has rebounded, but buyers have yet to fully commit.<\/p>\n

The scheduled inflation report will hit a rates market that makes that gap harder to ignore.<\/p>\n

Futures-derived probabilities using CME FedWatch methodology put a 64.6% chance on the Federal Reserve holding its 3.50%-3.75% target range on July 29 and a 35.4% chance on a quarter-point hike.<\/p>\n

By September, markets see a 50.9% chance of rates reaching 3.75%-4.00% and an 18.8% chance of 4.00%-4.25%. July appears too soon for the next Fed move. CPI will show whether rate-cut hopes have room to return or if fears of a hike take over.<\/p>\n

\n
\"Bitcoin\"Bitcoin<\/div>\n
Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n

Bitcoin rally now depends on one Fed document coming Wednesday<\/h3>\n

Bitcoin’s bounce from a 21-month low rests on a single weak jobs report, and Wednesday’s Fed minutes will show whether officials share the market’s doubts.<\/p>\n

Jul 7, 2026<\/span> \u00b7<\/span> Andjela Radmilac<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n

ETF demand has offered only tentative support. US spot Bitcoin funds took in a net $90.4 million on July 10 after losing a combined $180.2 million over the prior two sessions, fund flow data showed.<\/p>\n

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\"BlackRock\"BlackRock<\/div>\n
Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n

BlackRock put $209M behind Bitcoin\u2019s rebound but can it last?<\/h3>\n

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in roughly $266 million on July 6, with IBIT supplying about $209 million, making the next few sessions a test of whether ETF demand can keep supporting BTC.<\/p>\n

Jul 7, 2026<\/span> \u00b7<\/span> Liam ‘Akiba’ Wright<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n

Bitcoin futures open interest was near $47.3 billion, with modest positive funding and short liquidations dominating the previous 24 hours. That combination points to active positioning and only modest long exposure.<\/p>\n

Three CPI paths for Bitcoin\"Bitcoin\"Bitcoin<\/h2>\n

An upside inflation surprise would be the hardest test. The two-year Treasury yield ended July 10 at 4.21% and the 10-year at 4.56%, both higher on the day, according to Treasury data.<\/p>\n

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A hotter print could lift yields and the dollar from around the 101 area, raise hike probabilities and put fresh Bitcoin longs at risk if ETF buyers retreat.<\/p>\n

An inline result would leave the rebound dependent on flows. With leverage orderly and ETF demand positive for only one session, holding $64,000 would require buyers to keep absorbing supply after the macro event passes.<\/p>\n

A downside surprise would give later easing expectations room to recover. Falling yields and a weaker dollar could help ETF demand extend the rebound, though current probabilities leave that as the lower-confidence branch before the report.<\/p>\n

A split between headline and core inflation could produce the sharpest two-way trade. The first durable signal will be whether Fed probabilities, Treasury yields and the dollar move together.<\/p>\n

The second will be whether the next ETF flow confirms the move or exposes the $64,000 rebound as another short-covering pause.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Analysis,ETF,Featured,Macro,Market,Bitcoin,BTC,CME groupBitcoin,BTC,CME group,ETF#Bitcoins #64K #rebound #days #big #challenge #threatens #derail #momentum1783762160<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin traded near $64,100 on Saturday as the clock ticked toward a key test for its rebound. June’s US consumer price index is due at 8:30 a.m. ET on July 14, leaving the market with about three days before the next major macro catalyst. The largest crypto asset had gained about 2.6% over seven days,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10673,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[4997,1776,91,42,285,1796,5066,616,5421,231,1156,2465,1489],"class_list":["post-10672","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ethereum","tag-64k","tag-big","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoins","tag-btc","tag-challenge","tag-cme-group","tag-days","tag-derail","tag-etf","tag-momentum","tag-rebound","tag-threatens"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin\u2019s $64K rebound has 3 days before its next big challenge threatens to derail momentum - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin faces a key CPI test on July 14 as ETF inflows, Treasury yields and futures positioning shape the next market move.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=10672\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s $64K rebound has 3 days before its next big challenge threatens to derail momentum\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin faces a key CPI test on July 14 as ETF inflows, Treasury yields and futures positioning shape the next market move.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=10672\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-11T09:29:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/bitcoin-hot-inflation-test-fed-market-risk.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=10672\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=10672\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin\u2019s $64K rebound has 3 days before its next big challenge threatens to derail momentum - 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