{"id":13202,"date":"2026-09-14T09:11:26","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T09:11:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202"},"modified":"2026-09-14T09:11:26","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T09:11:26","slug":"clarity-act-odds-surge-to-32-as-republicans-rewrite-bill","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202","title":{"rendered":"CLARITY Act odds surge to 32% as Republicans rewrite bill"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/blind-trust-cloture.webp\" \/><\/p>\n<div data-cs-editorial-quote-scope=\"\" data-cs-image-viewer-scope=\"\" data-single-article-content=\"\">\n<p>The CLARITY Act\u2019s chances of becoming law climbed above 32% as Senate Republicans unveiled their final compromise before Tuesday\u2019s cloture vote.<\/p>\n<p>Polymarket traders pushed the probability of the landmark crypto market-structure legislation being enacted in 2026 to its highest level since Aug. 2 after Republicans released a 635-page final draft designed to resolve several disputes that have held up the bill.<\/p>\n<p>The move marks a turnaround from weeks of skepticism surrounding the legislation, though prediction-market pricing remains well below levels seen earlier this year. The contract reached about 82% in February before political disputes over ethics, stablecoin rewards and decentralized-finance protections complicated its path through the Senate.<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday provides the next test. Senators are scheduled to vote on cloture on the motion to proceed with H.R. 3633, a procedural step that would require 60 votes and allow the chamber to begin considering the legislation. If cloture is invoked, the final text would then be offered as a substitute amendment.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans said the latest version incorporates 126 substantive changes Democrats requested after more than a year of negotiations. The revisions touch some of the bill&#8217;s most contentious parts, including financial ethics rules for elected officials, stablecoin rewards, protections for blockchain developers, and conflicts involving digital-asset trading platforms.<\/p>\n<p>White House digital-assets adviser Patrick Witt cast the revisions as evidence that Republicans had exhausted the room for compromise.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAt every step of the way during the Clarity Act negotiations, the White House and Senate Republicans have been responsive to Democrats\u2019 stated policy objectives,\u201d Witt said. \u201cAfter more than a year\u2019s worth of negotiations, it\u2019s time to pass this bipartisan bill.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Trump ethics concession removes a major sticking point<\/h2>\n<p>The most politically significant change concerns President Donald Trump and other federal officials with substantial crypto-related financial interests.<\/p>\n<p>Trump agreed to substantially all of an ethics proposal developed by Republican Sen. Thom Tillis and Democratic Sen. Ruben Gallego. The framework would require covered officials with significant crypto interests to divest them or place them in a qualified blind trust, while giving state attorneys general a role in enforcing the restrictions.<\/p>\n<aside id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter\" data-inline-newsletter=\"\" data-newsletter-placement=\"article-midpoint\" data-newsletter-pending-label=\"Joining\u2026\" data-newsletter-pending-status=\"Joining the Daily Brief\u2026\" data-newsletter-email-required-message=\"Before sending, please provide your email address.\" aria-labelledby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" aria-describedby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__inner\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__content\"> <span class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__eyebrow\"> <i class=\"fa-regular fa-envelope\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/> The Daily Brief <\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__title\">The signal, before the noise.<\/h2>\n<p id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__copy\">Start your day with the crypto stories moving markets, decoded by CryptoSlate\u2019s editors.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__form-shell\">\n<p class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__form-heading\">One email. Everything that matters.<\/p>\n<p id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-privacy\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__privacy\">Free to join. Unsubscribe any time.<\/p>\n<p> <i class=\"fa-regular fa-circle-xmark\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/> <span>Whoops, looks like there was a problem. Please try again.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <i class=\"fa-regular fa-circle-check\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/> <span><strong>You\u2019re on the list.<\/strong> Your next Daily Brief is on its way.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p>That concession addresses one of the most persistent Democratic objections to the legislation. Republican negotiators said Trump voluntarily accepted restrictions covering federally elected officials, judges and their spouses. The White House had previously resisted giving state attorneys general a larger enforcement role.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans also added a stablecoin \u201ccircuit breaker\u201d intended to address concerns from community banks that crypto-based rewards could accelerate deposit flight. The measure would give the Treasury secretary authority to intervene if payment stablecoins were found to be causing substantial withdrawals from community banks.<\/p>\n<p>The Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act provisions were narrowed as well. The final version protects software developers from money-transmission registration requirements and creates a civil safe harbor, while pulling back protections that could have extended more broadly into criminal cases.<\/p>\n<p>Agriculture Committee provisions add restrictions around affiliate trading and conflicts of interest involving digital commodity exchanges, brokers and dealers. The legislation also preserves state consumer-protection laws and clarifies that protections for software developers do not override derivatives regulation or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission&#8217;s (CFTC) existing authority.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are now presenting those concessions as their final offer.<\/p>\n<p>Sen. Cynthia Lummis said Democrats had received more than 120 of the changes they sought and argued that Tuesday\u2019s vote would determine whether senators were willing to proceed with legislation after those demands were addressed. Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott similarly said the negotiations had produced more than 100 Democratic-requested changes.<\/p>\n<p>The increase in Polymarket odds suggests traders see the revised package as improving the bill\u2019s prospects, but Tuesday\u2019s hurdle remains political rather than probabilistic. Republicans need enough Democrats to join them to reach the 60-vote cloture threshold.<\/p>\n<p>The critical signal before the vote will therefore come from the senators whose objections drove the latest concessions. If enough of them publicly shift toward supporting cloture, the prediction market\u2019s rebound could have room to run further. If they remain uncommitted despite the final offer, Republicans could enter Tuesday with many of Democrats\u2019 requested provisions in the bill but still without the votes needed to debate it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Featured,Legislation,Politics,Regulation,CLARITY,CLARITY Act,Stablecoin,trumpCLARITY,CLARITY Act,Stablecoin,trump#CLARITY #Act #odds #surge #Republicans #rewrite #bill1789377086<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The CLARITY Act\u2019s chances of becoming law climbed above 32% as Senate Republicans unveiled their final compromise before Tuesday\u2019s cloture vote. Polymarket traders pushed the probability of the landmark crypto market-structure legislation being enacted in 2026 to its highest level since Aug. 2 after Republicans released a 635-page final draft designed to resolve several disputes<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13203,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[940,749,939,385,2409,6857,6412,166,456,283],"class_list":["post-13202","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ethereum","tag-act","tag-bill","tag-clarity","tag-clarity-act","tag-odds","tag-republicans","tag-rewrite","tag-stablecoin","tag-surge","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>CLARITY Act odds surge to 32% as Republicans rewrite bill - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Polymarket odds climbed above 32% as Senate Republicans released what they called their \u201clast, best and final\u201d CLARITY Act offer to Democrats.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"CLARITY Act odds surge to 32% as Republicans rewrite bill\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Polymarket odds climbed above 32% as Senate Republicans released what they called their \u201clast, best and final\u201d CLARITY Act offer to Democrats.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-09-14T09:11:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/blind-trust-cloture.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202\",\"name\":\"CLARITY Act odds surge to 32% as Republicans rewrite bill - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/blind-trust-cloture.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-09-14T09:11:26+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf\"},\"description\":\"Polymarket odds climbed above 32% as Senate Republicans released what they called their \u201clast, best and final\u201d CLARITY Act offer to Democrats.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/blind-trust-cloture.webp\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/blind-trust-cloture.webp\",\"width\":1280,\"height\":720},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=13202#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"CLARITY Act odds surge to 32% as Republicans rewrite bill\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\",\"name\":\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"description\":\"Latest Crypto &amp; 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