{"id":14020,"date":"2026-10-02T20:33:47","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T20:33:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020"},"modified":"2026-10-02T20:33:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T20:33:47","slug":"bitcoin-traders-load-up-on-100000-calls-as-rally-signal-returns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin traders load up on $100,000 calls as rally signal returns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-cs-editorial-figure-scope=\"\" data-cs-editorial-quote-scope=\"\" data-cs-image-viewer-scope=\"\" data-single-article-content=\"\">\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s rally is approaching a $90,000 test as a rare accumulation pattern reappears and sell-side liquidity thins.<\/p>\n<p>On Oct. 2, Bitcoin registered an intraday high at $87,000 after buyers broke through a sell wall around $85,000 that had stalled several previous attempts to advance.<\/p>\n<p>Glassnode said some of those orders were filled and the remainder withdrawn, leaving a smaller concentration of asks around $87,000 and less visible liquidity immediately above.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_568464\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-568464\" style=\"width: 2560px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-568464 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin's New Resistance at $87,000\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-480x270.jpg 480w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-568464 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin's New Resistance at $87,000\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-480x270.jpg 480w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTno6KrasAATx_U-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"\/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-568464\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin cleared $85,000 after sell orders vanished, then met new resistance near $87,000. Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>At the same time, bands on CryptoQuant\u2019s Bitcoin Accumulation Trend chart have begun contracting, reviving a pattern seen before two sharp advances in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>The setup adds another bullish signal to a market that has reclaimed several key cost-basis levels, though the limited number of previous occurrences makes the pattern far from conclusive.<\/p>\n<h2>Past contractions offer a bullish, but limited, precedent<\/h2>\n<p>Per CryptoQuant, the current contraction resembles two episodes in 2025 followed by sizable gains, giving traders a bullish analog as Bitcoin enters October.<\/p>\n<p>The Accumulation Trend tracks buying and selling behavior across different groups of Bitcoin holders, offering a view into whether supply is being absorbed or distributed. Periods when the chart\u2019s bands narrow sharply have previously coincided with shifts in market momentum.<\/p>\n<p>One contraction occurred between April 17 and April 20, 2025, when Bitcoin traded near $84,000. BTC subsequently climbed toward $109,000, and another appeared between March 5 and March 8 before a separate advance.<\/p>\n<p>Those episodes are too few to establish the contraction as a reliable forecasting tool. However, they do make the latest occurrence more notable because Bitcoin\u2019s broader market structure has improved at the same time.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cs-article-embed\">\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__related-reading\">Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"cs-article-embed__title\">Bitcoin\u2019s $113,000 case strengthens as US regulators push 9 crypto actions<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <i class=\"fa-light fa-arrow-up-right\"\/> <\/span> <\/div>\n<p>Bitwise said this week that Bitcoin has reclaimed the major cost-basis thresholds it tracks for identifying shifts toward risk-on conditions. Those include the short-term holder cost basis near $73,000, a true market mean around $77,000, and the estimated average cost basis of spot exchange-traded fund investors near $83,000.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin has also moved decisively through Bitwise\u2019s $85,000 short-term holder realized-price band, pushing the market toward a part of the distribution where gains have historically become harder to sustain.<\/p>\n<h2>Underwater Bitcoin holders crowd the path toward $100,000<\/h2>\n<p>The disappearance of the $85,000 sell wall leaves Bitcoin heading directly toward another source of potential supply: investors approaching breakeven after months of losses.<\/p>\n<p>CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost estimates that BTC holders who acquired their assets 18 months to two years ago have an average cost basis near $88,350. The six-to-12-month cohort sits around $89,200 and has been underwater overall for close to a year.<\/p>\n<aside id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter\" data-inline-newsletter=\"\" data-newsletter-placement=\"article-midpoint\" data-newsletter-pending-label=\"Joining\u2026\" data-newsletter-pending-status=\"Joining The Catalyst\u2026\" data-newsletter-email-required-message=\"Before sending, please provide your email address.\" aria-labelledby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" aria-describedby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__inner\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__content\"> <span class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__eyebrow\"> <i class=\"fa-regular fa-envelope\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/> The Catalyst <\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__title\">What\u2019s moving crypto. Why it matters.<\/h2>\n<p id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__copy\">Get CryptoSlate\u2019s essential stories and what to watch next.<\/p>\n<p>  <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" fill=\"currentColor\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"> <path d=\"M15 3.604H1v1.891h14v-1.89ZM1 7.208V16l7-3.926L15 16V7.208zM15 0H1v1.89h14z\"\/> <\/svg> <span>Published on Substack<\/span> <\/div>\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__form-shell\">\n<p id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-privacy\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__privacy\">Seven days a week. Unsubscribe anytime.<\/p>\n<p> <i class=\"fa-regular fa-circle-xmark\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/> <span>Whoops, looks like there was a problem. Please try again.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__success\" role=\"status\" aria-live=\"polite\" aria-atomic=\"true\" tabindex=\"-1\"> <span class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__success-icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<div>\n<h3 class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__success-title\">Check your inbox.<\/h3>\n<p class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__success-copy\">Your signup request was sent. If confirmation is required, follow the email from Substack.<\/p>\n<p class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__success-hint\">Look in spam or promotions if you don\u2019t see it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<figure id=\"attachment_568461\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-568461\" style=\"width: 2048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-568461 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Realized Price \" width=\"2048\" height=\"1152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-480x270.jpg 480w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload wp-image-568461 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Realized Price \" width=\"2048\" height=\"1152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-480x270.jpg 480w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/HTnvk3eXYAAhRIf-1200x675.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\"\/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-568461\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Realized-price bands show how Bitcoin holder cost bases shift across market cycles. Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Some investors bought above these averages and others below, but as the market approaches the cohort&#8217;s cost bases, more holders face a fresh decision after months in losses.<\/p>\n<p>Some may use the recovery to exit near breakeven, while others could hold or add to lower their average purchase price. How much of that returning supply buyers absorb will help determine whether the rally can extend beyond $90,000.<\/p>\n<p>Bitwise\u2019s valuation bands place another hurdle in almost the same area.<\/p>\n<p>The firm puts the next short-term holder reference level around $90,000, or 1.5 standard deviations above realized price, followed by the two-standard-deviation level around $95,000. Bitcoin has traded above those thresholds on only about 3.8% and 1.7% of days, respectively, in Bitwise\u2019s historical sample.<\/p>\n<p>A separate Fibonacci framework used by the asset manager places levels near $92,000 and $100,000, adding to the concentration of technical and on-chain markers across the region. Bitwise described $90,000 to $100,000 as the next area where several structural reference points converge.<\/p>\n<p>Options traders are positioning for the same corridor. Deribit data show about $2.1 billion of Bitcoin call exposure at the $90,000 strike, $2.4 billion at $95,000 and $1.8 billion at $100,000.<\/p>\n<p>The concentration of calls points to substantial demand for upside exposure as Bitcoin moves closer to those strikes.<\/p>\n<p>Their effect on the spot market will depend on expiration dates and dealer hedging, but the positioning shows that traders have placed billions of dollars behind a move into the same $90,000-to-$100,000 range highlighted by on-chain valuation measures.<\/p>\n<h2>Leverage rebuilds as macro pressure eases<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin is approaching that supply zone with speculative exposure rising again and Friday\u2019s US employment report giving risk assets a fresh macro boost.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s open interest fell to about $52 billion as September ended, but derivatives activity has begun recovering, with the figure climbing to roughly $56.2 billion in the first two days of October, CoinGlass data show.<\/p>\n<p>The roughly $4.2 billion increase coincided with Bitcoin rising from about $83,500 to briefly above $87,000.<\/p>\n<p>The rebound suggests traders are rebuilding exposure after cutting positions into the end of September. With open interest rising alongside Bitcoin, new positions have accompanied the price advance, although the measure alone does not show whether traders are positioned long or short.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin open interest ended September near its lowest level in a year, leaving room for speculative activity to rebuild without immediately returning to previous extremes. Rising funding nevertheless makes long positions more expensive to maintain and increases their vulnerability if the rally reverses.<\/p>\n<p>The macro backdrop turned more favorable Friday after US employers added just 29,000 jobs in September, well below the 90,000 economists had expected. The unemployment rate increased to 4.2% from 4.1%, while August payroll growth was revised lower.<\/p>\n<p>The report pushed down expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates again at its October meeting, sending Treasury yields lower and lifting US equities. Futures markets placed the probability of an October increase below 20% following the data.<\/p>\n<p>That removes one immediate threat to Bitcoin\u2019s advance while leaving the harder test inside the crypto market itself.<\/p>\n<p>A sustained move through $90,000 would take Bitcoin into territory that Bitwise already considers historically stretched relative to recent investor cost bases. Reaching $95,000 would push it into a band exceeded on less than 2% of days in the firm\u2019s sample, forcing buyers to absorb both returning holder supply and increasingly expensive leveraged positions.<\/p>\n<p>Failure to do so would shift attention back toward $83,000, where Bitwise places the average ETF investor cost basis and the first major downside level that bulls would need to defend.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Analysis,Macro,Market,Price Watch#Bitcoin #traders #load #calls #rally #signal #returns1790973227<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s rally is approaching a $90,000 test as a rare accumulation pattern reappears and sell-side liquidity thins. On Oct. 2, Bitcoin registered an intraday high at $87,000 after buyers broke through a sell wall around $85,000 that had stalled several previous attempts to advance. Glassnode said some of those orders were filled and the remainder<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14021,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[91,1539,5226,541,1610,278,171],"class_list":["post-14020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ethereum","tag-bitcoin","tag-calls","tag-load","tag-rally","tag-returns","tag-signal","tag-traders"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin traders load up on $100,000 calls as rally signal returns - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A rare accumulation signal has turned bullish, but breakeven sellers and stretched valuation bands could decide whether the rally extends\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin traders load up on $100,000 calls as rally signal returns\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A rare accumulation signal has turned bullish, but breakeven sellers and stretched valuation bands could decide whether the rally extends\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-02T20:33:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-green-signal.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin traders load up on $100,000 calls as rally signal returns - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-green-signal.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-02T20:33:47+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf\"},\"description\":\"A rare accumulation signal has turned bullish, but breakeven sellers and stretched valuation bands could decide whether the rally extends\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-green-signal.webp\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-green-signal.webp\",\"width\":1280,\"height\":720},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14020#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Bitcoin traders load up on $100,000 calls as rally signal returns\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\",\"name\":\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"description\":\"Latest Crypto &amp; 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