{"id":14470,"date":"2026-10-14T13:09:47","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T13:09:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14470"},"modified":"2026-10-14T13:09:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T13:09:47","slug":"bitcoin-difficulty-rise-could-put-rigs-below-power-cost","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14470","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin difficulty rise could put rigs below power cost"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-cs-editorial-figure-scope=\"\" data-cs-editorial-quote-scope=\"\" data-cs-image-viewer-scope=\"\" data-single-article-content=\"\">\n<p>Bitcoin miners face a projected 5.68% difficulty increase around Oct. 16, putting equipment with thin electricity cushions under pressure. If Bitcoin&#8217;s price, block subsidy and average fees per block stay unchanged, expected revenue per unit of computing power would fall 5.37%.<\/p>\n<p>Startmining&#8217;s network dashboard, captured at 07:02 UTC on Oct. 14, put difficulty at 132.72 trillion and hashprice at $39.77 per PH\/day. Hashprice measures expected daily revenue from one petahash per second of computing power, before expenses.<\/p>\n<p>For illustrative equipment using 20 joules per terahash and paying 8 cents per kWh, electricity costs $38.40 daily per PH\/s. Its $1.37 cushion at the Oct. 14 hashprice becomes an approximately $0.77 power shortfall under the projected retarget with those other inputs unchanged.<\/p>\n<p>That reading showed 347 blocks remaining until the adjustment at block 971,712. Bitcoin recalibrates difficulty every 2,016 blocks to target a ten-minute average block interval. Oct. 16 remains an estimated date, and the projected increase can move as more blocks arrive.<\/p>\n<p>Recent readings have hovered near $40. CryptoSlate reported on Oct. 9 that Hashrate Index hashprice had briefly exceeded $40 before easing to around $39. Luxor&#8217;s Oct. 13 analysis put Bitcoin hashprice at $39.71, leaving revenue close to that $40 level ahead of the next retarget.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cs-article-embed\">\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__related-reading\">Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"cs-article-embed__title\">Bitcoin miners escape months of distress as daily revenue surges by 78%<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <i class=\"fa-light fa-arrow-up-right\"\/> <\/span> <\/div>\n<p>Higher difficulty reduces the chance that a given amount of computing work earns a block reward. With Bitcoin&#8217;s price, subsidy and average fees per block unchanged, the projected rise would take the $39.77 baseline to about $37.63 per PH\/day: $39.77 divided by 1.0568.<\/p>\n<p>That is a 5.37% reduction, rather than a 5.68% drop, because revenue scales inversely with difficulty. It isolates the retarget&#8217;s effect; actual hashprice will also reflect Bitcoin&#8217;s price and fee revenue.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cs-article-embed\">\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__related-reading\">Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"cs-article-embed__title\">Bitcoin needs to reach $82,900 to outrun a looming miner margin squeeze<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <i class=\"fa-light fa-arrow-up-right\"\/> <\/span> <\/div>\n<h2>Where electricity cushions could disappear<\/h2>\n<p>For illustrative equipment consuming 20 joules per terahash, one PH\/s draws 20 kilowatts, or 480 kilowatt-hours over a full day. Dividing revenue by that consumption gives the highest electricity tariff covered by gross revenue alone.<\/p>\n<aside id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter cs-newsletter-brand\" data-newsletter-edition=\"catalyst\" data-inline-newsletter=\"\" data-newsletter-placement=\"article-midpoint\" aria-labelledby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" aria-describedby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__inner\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__content\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__editorial\">\n<p class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__eyebrow\">The Catalyst<\/p>\n<p class=\"cs-newsletter-frequency\">Daily Newsletter<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__title\">Know what\u2019s moving crypto.<\/h2>\n<p id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__copy\">Start with the stories that matter. Get the context behind the headlines and a clear view of what to watch next.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/themes\/cryptoslate-2020\/images\/catalyst-newsletter-scrapbook-v3.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/themes\/cryptoslate-2020\/images\/catalyst-newsletter-scrapbook-v3.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p>Using Luxor&#8217;s energy-adjusted hashprice method, that power-only ceiling falls from 8.29 to 7.84 cents per kWh in the scenario. Lower joules per terahash means less electricity used for the same computing output.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter shoggoth-infographic shoggoth-infographic-portrait wp-image-572148\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7.png\" alt=\"Illustrative 20 J\/TH equipment at 8 cents\/kWh has a $1.37 daily electricity cushion per PH\/s at the October 14 reading, changing to a $0.77 shortfall if the projected 5.68% retarget occurs with price, subsidy and fees unchanged.\" width=\"720\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7.png 1122w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7-768x960.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazyload aligncenter shoggoth-infographic shoggoth-infographic-portrait wp-image-572148\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7.png\" alt=\"Illustrative 20 J\/TH equipment at 8 cents\/kWh has a $1.37 daily electricity cushion per PH\/s at the October 14 reading, changing to a $0.77 shortfall if the projected 5.68% retarget occurs with price, subsidy and fees unchanged.\" width=\"720\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7.png 1122w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7-240x300.png 240w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7-819x1024.png 819w, https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/exec-d8f16f02-87c4-4f3b-99c5-a4b1f847dea7-768x960.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\"\/><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Illustrative efficiency<\/th>\n<th>Oct. 14 ceiling, cents\/kWh<\/th>\n<th>After projected retarget, cents\/kWh<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>15 J\/TH<\/td>\n<td>11.05<\/td>\n<td>10.45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20 J\/TH<\/td>\n<td>8.29<\/td>\n<td>7.84<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>25 J\/TH<\/td>\n<td>6.63<\/td>\n<td>6.27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>30 J\/TH<\/td>\n<td>5.52<\/td>\n<td>5.23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The table assumes continuous operation and unchanged Bitcoin price, subsidy and average fees per block. Its electricity-only ceilings exclude pool fees, separate cooling and site loads, repairs, overhead and financing.<\/p>\n<p>Equipment at 25 J\/TH paying 6.5 cents per kWh, or 30 J\/TH paying 5.5 cents per kWh, crosses the same threshold. At 15 J\/TH and 8 cents per kWh, an electricity cushion remains.<\/p>\n<p>The next test is the completed adjustment at block 971,712 and hashprice afterward. A higher dollar value of rewards per block could soften the squeeze; a lower value would deepen it.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cs-article-embed\">\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__related-reading\">Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"cs-article-embed__title\">Bitcoin&#8217;s $84K rally isn&#8217;t saving miners as difficulty signals already flash caution<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <i class=\"fa-light fa-arrow-up-right\"\/> <\/span> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Analysis,Featured,Mining,Bitcoin,BTC,miningBitcoin,BTC,mining#Bitcoin #difficulty #rise #put #rigs #power #cost1791983387<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin miners face a projected 5.68% difficulty increase around Oct. 16, putting equipment with thin electricity cushions under pressure. If Bitcoin&#8217;s price, block subsidy and average fees per block stay unchanged, expected revenue per unit of computing power would fall 5.37%. Startmining&#8217;s network dashboard, captured at 07:02 UTC on Oct. 14, put difficulty at 132.72<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[91,285,786,1398,447,88,1309,7390,1296],"class_list":["post-14470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ethereum","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-cost","tag-difficulty","tag-mining","tag-power","tag-put","tag-rigs","tag-rise"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin difficulty rise could put rigs below power cost - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s projected difficulty rise could squeeze mining revenue. 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