{"id":14486,"date":"2026-10-14T21:17:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T21:17:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486"},"modified":"2026-10-14T21:17:48","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T21:17:48","slug":"surging-dollar-forces-bitcoin-sell-off-as-rate-hike-odds-double","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486","title":{"rendered":"Surging dollar forces Bitcoin sell-off as rate hike odds double"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-cs-editorial-figure-scope=\"\" data-cs-editorial-quote-scope=\"\" data-cs-image-viewer-scope=\"\" data-single-article-content=\"\">\n<p>Bitcoin faces a tougher interest-rate outlook after US inflation data released Oct. 14 pushed bets on another Federal Reserve hike sharply higher. Rising Treasury yields could weigh on Bitcoin by making interest-bearing dollar assets more attractive.<\/p>\n<p>Market-data provider LSEG data shows\u00a0<span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;\">money markets priced in roughly a 47% chance of another October rate increase after the release, up from<\/span> closer to 20% beforehand.<\/p>\n<p>September consumer prices were 3.7% higher than a year earlier, up from 3.4% in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics release. Annual core inflation, which excludes food and energy, increased to 2.6% from 2.4%. Both readings exceeded forecasts of 3.6% and 2.5%, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, headline CPI rose 0.6% after 0.4% in August. Gasoline prices rose 9.1% and accounted for more than half the monthly headline increase, while shelter costs increased 0.4%. Monthly core CPI rose 0.3%, matching August but exceeding the 0.2% forecasts.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333;\">After the results,\u00a0<\/span>Bitcoin hit an intraday low<span style=\"color: #333333;\"> of<\/span>\u00a0$81,588.88 on Oct. 14.<\/p>\n<h2>Another increase would extend September&#8217;s tightening<\/h2>\n<p>The Fed had already raised its target range by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%-4.00% on Sept. 16. Another hike would extend that tightening, with the next policy meeting scheduled for Oct. 27-28.<\/p>\n<aside id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter cs-newsletter-brand\" data-newsletter-edition=\"catalyst\" data-inline-newsletter=\"\" data-newsletter-placement=\"article-midpoint\" aria-labelledby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" aria-describedby=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__inner\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__content\">\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__editorial\">\n<p class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__eyebrow\">The Catalyst<\/p>\n<p class=\"cs-newsletter-frequency\">Daily Newsletter<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-title\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__title\">Know what\u2019s moving crypto.<\/h2>\n<p id=\"cs-inline-newsletter-1-copy\" class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__copy\">Start with the stories that matter. Get the context behind the headlines and a clear view of what to watch next.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cs-inline-newsletter__art\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/themes\/cryptoslate-2020\/images\/catalyst-newsletter-scrapbook-v3.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptoslate.com\/wp-content\/themes\/cryptoslate-2020\/images\/catalyst-newsletter-scrapbook-v3.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"640\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/aside>\n<p>Post-CPI reports put the two-year Treasury yield at 4.872%, up seven basis points on the day, with the dollar showing gains against a basket of currencies. The shift in those markets shows the inflation surprise is changing expectations for borrowing costs ahead of policymakers&#8217; next decision.<\/p>\n<div class=\"cs-article-embed\">\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__related-reading\">Related Reading<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"cs-article-embed__title\">AI may be keeping Bitcoin\u2019s biggest macro headwind alive after the Fed stops hiking<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"cs-article-embed__arrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\"> <i class=\"fa-light fa-arrow-up-right\"\/> <\/span> <\/div>\n<p>For Bitcoin holders, the consequence depends partly on whether those higher yields persist. Continued competition from interest-bearing dollar assets could create a headwind for a cryptocurrency that does not pay interest, even if the Fed leaves rates unchanged in October.<\/p>\n<p>The release also followed a period of cheaper short-term volatility pricing. Oct. 12 showed concentrated put options on Deribit at $76,000-$80,000 for the Oct. 16 expiry, which buyers can use to protect against falling prices.<\/p>\n<p>The immediate change is greater market concern about further tightening. It remains unclear whether Bitcoin can withstand that pressure if yields stay elevated as the October Fed decision approaches.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Analysis,Featured,Macro,Market,Bitcoin,BTC,deribitBitcoin,BTC,deribit#Surging #dollar #forces #Bitcoin #selloff #rate #hike #odds #double1792012668<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin faces a tougher interest-rate outlook after US inflation data released Oct. 14 pushed bets on another Federal Reserve hike sharply higher. Rising Treasury yields could weigh on Bitcoin by making interest-bearing dollar assets more attractive. Market-data provider LSEG data shows\u00a0money markets priced in roughly a 47% chance of another October rate increase after the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14487,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[91,285,3001,396,4093,3109,4998,2409,896,958,2645],"class_list":["post-14486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ethereum","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-deribit","tag-dollar","tag-double","tag-forces","tag-hike","tag-odds","tag-rate","tag-selloff","tag-surging"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Surging dollar forces Bitcoin sell-off as rate hike odds double - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin faces greater rate risk after September US inflation hit 3.7%, lifting October Fed hike odds to roughly 47% and sending Treasury yields higher.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Surging dollar forces Bitcoin sell-off as rate hike odds double\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin faces greater rate risk after September US inflation hit 3.7%, lifting October Fed hike odds to roughly 47% and sending Treasury yields higher.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-14T21:17:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-fed-trap.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486\",\"name\":\"Surging dollar forces Bitcoin sell-off as rate hike odds double - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-fed-trap.webp\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-14T21:17:48+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf\"},\"description\":\"Bitcoin faces greater rate risk after September US inflation hit 3.7%, lifting October Fed hike odds to roughly 47% and sending Treasury yields higher.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-fed-trap.webp\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/bitcoin-fed-trap.webp\",\"width\":1280,\"height\":720},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=14486#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Surging dollar forces Bitcoin sell-off as rate hike odds double\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\",\"name\":\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"description\":\"Latest Crypto &amp; 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