{"id":6343,"date":"2026-02-05T05:44:38","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T05:44:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343"},"modified":"2026-02-05T05:44:38","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T05:44:38","slug":"crypto-winter-tapping-into-crypto-weighs-gold-signals-us40k-risk-and-2026-turning-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<div id=\"blockquote-block_f523157c3ba68a7b369821e620305742\" class=\"blockquote-container\" style=\"border-color: #5100fc\">\n<div class=\"blockquote-text\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin\u2019s current pullback is weighed against past bear markets that saw deeper declines over longer periods.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On-chain data suggests further downside pressure could emerge if Bitcoin weakens further in US dollar terms.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A recurring gold\u2013Bitcoin pattern, however, points to a potential stabilisation window in early 2026.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full variant-no-border\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1445\" height=\"742\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-132797 lazyload\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1445px) 100vw, 1445px\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.cryptonews.com.au\/2026\/02\/05150709\/image-7.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.cryptonews.com.au\/2026\/02\/05150709\/image-7.jpg 1445w, https:\/\/cdn.cryptonews.com.au\/2026\/02\/05150709\/image-7-768x394.jpg 768w\" data-eio-rwidth=\"1445\" data-eio-rheight=\"742\"\/><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1445\" height=\"742\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.cryptonews.com.au\/2026\/02\/05150709\/image-7.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-132797\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.cryptonews.com.au\/2026\/02\/05150709\/image-7.jpg 1445w, https:\/\/cdn.cryptonews.com.au\/2026\/02\/05150709\/image-7-768x394.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1445px) 100vw, 1445px\" data-eio=\"l\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: <em>Tapping Into Crypto<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In the latest episode of <em>Tapping Into Crypto<\/em>, the hosts examine whether Bitcoin is already deep into a crypto winter or heading into a more severe phase. Drawing on historical market cycles, on-chain behaviour and broader macro conditions, the discussion outlines near-term downside risks alongside signals that could point to a longer-term shift in market dynamics.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-market-stress-extends-beyond-crypto\">Market Stress Extends Beyond Crypto<\/h2>\n<p>The episode opens by placing Bitcoin\u2019s recent weakness in a wider market context. Sharp declines in gold and silver prices, alongside extreme volatility in leveraged exchange-traded products, are cited as signs of frothy positioning and forced liquidations across asset classes. The hosts note that these moves resemble crypto-style volatility, suggesting that risk appetite has deteriorated beyond digital assets alone.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-bear-market-history-suggests-more-pain\">Bear Market History Suggests More Pain<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s price action is compared with previous crypto bear markets, which historically lasted around 12 to 13 months and saw peak-to-trough declines exceeding 70%. With Bitcoin currently only several months removed from its most recent all-time high and down by a smaller percentage than in prior cycles, the discussion suggests that, based on historical precedent, further downside in US dollar terms remains possible.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: Analyst: Gold\u2019s Surge Signals a Trust Crisis \u2013 and Crypto\u2019s Moment<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-on-chain-data-flags-us-40-000-as-a-risk-zone\">On-Chain Data Flags US$40,000 as a Risk Zone<\/h2>\n<p>The episode then turns to on-chain data tracking long-term Bitcoin holders. The hosts explain that when price approaches key cost-basis levels, selling pressure can increase as holders attempt to exit at break-even. If selling intensifies around the mid-US$70,000 (AU$100,480) range, they outline how this could open the path to a deeper drawdown, potentially bringing Bitcoin closer to US$40,000 (AU$57,000) as market sentiment weakens.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gold-bitcoin-relationship-points-to-a-2026-shift\">Gold\u2013Bitcoin Relationship Points to a 2026 Shift<\/h2>\n<p>Despite the bearish signals, the discussion highlights a recurring historical pattern in which gold outperforms Bitcoin for roughly 14 months before relative strength shifts back toward crypto. Based on this framework, the hosts suggest February or March 2026 could mark a period of stabilisation in Bitcoin\u2019s relative performance, even if it does not coincide with an immediate price bottom.<\/p>\n<p><em>Tapping Into Crypto<\/em> ultimately presents a market at a crossroads. While on-chain data and historical cycles point to caution in the months ahead, longer-term signals tied to gold performance leave open the possibility that the next major transition may already be forming beneath the surface.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: Treasury Secretary Bessent Questioned Over Trump-Linked Crypto Firm and Bitcoin Oversight<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Bitcoin,Gold,Tapping into Crypto#Crypto #Winter #Tapping #Crypto #Weighs #Gold #Signals #US40K #Risk #Turning #Point1770270278<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s current pullback is weighed against past bear markets that saw deeper declines over longer periods. On-chain data suggests further downside pressure could emerge if Bitcoin weakens further in US dollar terms. A recurring gold\u2013Bitcoin pattern, however, points to a potential stabilisation window in early 2026. Source: Tapping Into Crypto In the latest episode of<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6344,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[62,243,1344,160,206,2206,690,1168,1465,113],"class_list":{"0":"post-6343","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin","8":"tag-crypto","9":"tag-gold","10":"tag-point","11":"tag-risk","12":"tag-signals","13":"tag-tapping","14":"tag-turning","15":"tag-us40k","16":"tag-weighs","17":"tag-winter"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s current pullback is weighed against past bear markets that saw deeper declines over longer periods. On-chain data suggests further downside pressure could emerge if Bitcoin weakens further in US dollar terms. A recurring gold\u2013Bitcoin pattern, however, points to a potential stabilisation window in early 2026. Source: Tapping Into Crypto In the latest episode of\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-05T05:44:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\u884c\u653f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343\",\"name\":\"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/tapping-into-crypto-will-bitcoin-drop-to-40k.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-05T05:44:38+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/tapping-into-crypto-will-bitcoin-drop-to-40k.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/tapping-into-crypto-will-bitcoin-drop-to-40k.jpg\",\"width\":1280,\"height\":720},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/\",\"name\":\"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis\",\"description\":\"Latest Crypto &amp; Bitcoin News\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf\",\"name\":\"\u884c\u653f\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e4c2d23409b09e004cef3facbe677e95c5401f9e29680f3a311e0130c5748089?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e4c2d23409b09e004cef3facbe677e95c5401f9e29680f3a311e0130c5748089?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"\u884c\u653f\"},\"sameAs\":[\"http:\/\/demo3.aiwalls.com\/coinbase\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?author=1\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point","og_description":"Bitcoin\u2019s current pullback is weighed against past bear markets that saw deeper declines over longer periods. On-chain data suggests further downside pressure could emerge if Bitcoin weakens further in US dollar terms. A recurring gold\u2013Bitcoin pattern, however, points to a potential stabilisation window in early 2026. Source: Tapping Into Crypto In the latest episode of","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343","og_site_name":"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis","article_published_time":"2026-02-05T05:44:38+00:00","author":"\u884c\u653f","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"\u884c\u653f","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343","name":"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/tapping-into-crypto-will-bitcoin-drop-to-40k.jpg","datePublished":"2026-02-05T05:44:38+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/tapping-into-crypto-will-bitcoin-drop-to-40k.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/tapping-into-crypto-will-bitcoin-drop-to-40k.jpg","width":1280,"height":720},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=6343#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Crypto Winter? Tapping Into Crypto Weighs Gold Signals, US$40K Risk, and 2026 Turning Point"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/","name":"Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis","description":"Latest Crypto &amp; Bitcoin News","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/822778c5844e0d16d43dce6630f4f1bf","name":"\u884c\u653f","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e4c2d23409b09e004cef3facbe677e95c5401f9e29680f3a311e0130c5748089?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/e4c2d23409b09e004cef3facbe677e95c5401f9e29680f3a311e0130c5748089?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"\u884c\u653f"},"sameAs":["http:\/\/demo3.aiwalls.com\/coinbase"],"url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?author=1"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6343","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6343"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6343\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6344"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6343"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6343"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6343"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}