{"id":9267,"date":"2026-05-21T07:12:56","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T07:12:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=9267"},"modified":"2026-05-21T07:12:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T07:12:56","slug":"bitcoin-faces-bear-market-warning-as-rally-mirrors-2022-breakdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=9267","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Faces \u2018Bear Market\u2019 Warning as Rally Mirrors 2022 Breakdown"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

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  • Bitcoin failed to clear its 200-day moving average near US$82,400 after rebounding from about US$60,000.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • CryptoQuant said the same moving-average zone acted as major resistance during the 2022 bear market.<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Weak spot demand, lower futures momentum and bearish sentiment kept the rebound vulnerable to another pullback.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

    CryptoQuant\u2019s head of research Julio Moreno warned that Bitcoin had reached a major historical resistance zone.\u00a0<\/p>\n

    The analyst said the 200-day moving average acted as a key ceiling during the 2022 bear market, when Bitcoin resumed its downtrend after touching the level in March of that year.<\/p>\n

    \u201cIn bear markets, the 200-day MA has consistently acted as the boundary between relief rally territory and trend resumption,\u201d Moreno said. The current pattern then is a risk signal, as Bitcoin rallied about 37% from roughly US$60,000 (AU$83K) in February to about US$82,000 (AU$114K), then failed near the same long-term trend line that traders use to separate bull and bear phases.<\/p>\n

    Bitcoin (BTC) traded near US$77,800 (AU$108,100) after failing to break above its 200-day moving average near US$82,400 (AU$114,500), reviving Moreno\u2019s warnings that the latest rebound may resemble a 2022-style relief rally.<\/p>\n

    Related: Elon Musk Loses OpenAI Lawsuit as Jury Sides With Sam Altman<\/strong><\/p>\n

    Resistance Holds<\/h2>\n

    The 200-day moving average matters because it is widely followed by systematic traders, discretionary funds and crypto-native analysts. When price trades below a declining 200-day average, rallies into that level are often treated as tests of whether demand is strong enough to reverse the broader trend.<\/p>\n

    So far, the test has failed. Bitcoin\u2019s latest quote around US$77,847 (AU$108K) keeps the asset below the US$82,400 resistance area, with intraday trading between US$76,492 (AU$106K) and US$78,057 (AU$108K).<\/p>\n

    CryptoQuant also flagged profit-taking risk. Market summaries said traders\u2019 unrealised profit margins reached 17.7% on May 5, their highest level since June 2025, which can create selling pressure when a rebound stalls at resistance.<\/p>\n

    Additional CryptoQuant data showed open interest (OI) on major crypto exchanges had fallen by nearly US$1.25 billion (AU$1.74 billion), signalling fading futures momentum.<\/p>\n

    Sentiment has also struggled to recover. Earlier CryptoQuant data showed the firm\u2019s Bull Score Index fell to 10, a level it characterised as extremely bearish, after sitting near 80 when Bitcoin reached its October 2025 high.<\/p>\n

    Related: Japan Brokerages Build Crypto Funds as 2028 Reform Nears<\/strong><\/p>\n

    .<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

    Bear Market,Bitcoin#Bitcoin #Faces #Bear #Market #Warning #Rally #Mirrors #Breakdown1779347576<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Bitcoin failed to clear its 200-day moving average near US$82,400 after rebounding from about US$60,000. CryptoQuant said the same moving-average zone acted as major resistance during the 2022 bear market. Weak spot demand, lower futures momentum and bearish sentiment kept the rebound vulnerable to another pullback. CryptoQuant\u2019s head of research Julio Moreno warned that Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[192,91,2160,147,43,4557,541,358],"class_list":["post-9267","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-bear","tag-bitcoin","tag-breakdown","tag-faces","tag-market","tag-mirrors","tag-rally","tag-warning"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Faces \u2018Bear Market\u2019 Warning as Rally Mirrors 2022 Breakdown - Crypto News: Latest Cryptocurrency News and Analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.uk.com\/?p=9267\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Faces \u2018Bear Market\u2019 Warning as Rally Mirrors 2022 Breakdown\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin failed to clear its 200-day moving average near US$82,400 after rebounding from about US$60,000. 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