Author: 行政

Jason Pizzino predicts broad volatility for 2026 across multiple asset classes, forecasting that US housing prices will enter a “choppy” period this year. Meanwhile, Michael Pizzino noted that Bitcoin has recorded three consecutive months of losses for the first time this cycle since its US$126,000 peak in October 2025. The brothers’ outlook warns of a potential liquidity crunch for altcoins, projecting that non-stablecoin market capitalisation could fall below US$400 billion due to weakening exchange volumes and persistent bearish technical levels. The Pizzino brothers are back and filtering some of the noise in the crypto market with some interesting forecasts. For…

XRP rose to $2.11 and became the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, fueled by $13.59 million in net ETF inflows on January 2. While broader crypto markets and Bitcoin funds remained flat, spot XRP ETFs reached a cumulative inflow total of approximately $1.18 billion. The price surge is linked to the departure of SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw and anticipation of a Market Structure Bill markup on January 15. US spot XRP ETFs recorded US$13.59 million (AU$20.7 million) of net inflows on Jan. 2, lifting cumulative inflows since launch to about US$1.18 billion (AU$1.8 billion), according to data cited by SoSoValue.…

Altcoins have successfully defended major support levels following recent corrections, indicating seller exhaustion and buyer accumulation that typically precedes sustained rallies. Van de Poppe suggests the market is positioned for a substantial upward move with no significant resistance barriers until reaching previous all-time highs in total altcoin market capitalisation. Bitcoin currently trades at US$91,293, up nearly 4% weekly, as K33 researchers predict strong 2026 performance driven by 2025’s “isolated bubbles” now clearing. Australian analysts caution that lower exchange volumes and bearish technical patterns could trigger increased volatility and liquidity concerns for altcoins throughout 2026. Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe…

Washington is about to take a serious swing at crypto’s most stubborn problem: who, exactly, is supposed to police the market when a token trades like a commodity, is sold like a security, and moves through software that insists it isn’t a company at all. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (better known on Capitol Hill and in boardrooms as the CLARITY Act) has already cleared the House, and Senate lawmakers are now lining it up for a January markup that will determine whether the bill becomes a durable rulebook or another ambitious draft that buckles under its…

Wintermute faced scrutiny for two recent events: dumping Bitcoin onto Binance during New Year’s Eve’s thin liquidity, then scrambling to accumulate coins in what appeared to be urgent buying ahead of the Fed announcement on Jan. 2.The claims paint a picture of coordinated manipulation: sell into weakness, buy back cheaper. On-chain data supports the first accusation, but not the second.The evidence comes from blockchain transaction records, not from exchange order books. Every flow analyzed involves addresses labeled by Arkham as belonging to Wintermute on one side and Binance hot wallets on the other.This methodology captures custody transfers between the market…

The euro finally has a substantial stablecoin market, and for once, it’s not just a niche corner of DeFi. When MiCA’s stablecoin rules kicked in June 2024, they turned euro-pegged stablecoins into a regulated product category with paperwork, reserve rules, and an actual licensing lane.Under MiCA, stablecoins that reference a single fiat currency sit in the “e-money token” bucket, while tokens tied to a basket fall under “asset-referenced tokens.” This means that if an issuer and an exchange want to keep a euro stablecoin available to EU users, the compliance burden is now explicit, and it shows up in listings,…

On-chain security researcher ZachXBT flagged hundreds of wallets across multiple EVM chains getting drained for small amounts, typically under $2,000 per victim, funneling into a single suspicious address.The theft total climbed past $107,000 and kept rising. The root cause is still unknown, but users reported receiving a phishing email disguised as a mandatory MetaMask upgrade, complete with a party-hat fox logo and a “Happy New Year!” subject line.This attack arrived when developers were on holiday, support channels were running skeleton crews, and users were scrolling through inboxes cluttered with New Year promotions.Attackers exploit that window. The small per-victim amounts suggest…

Bitcoin has a talent for looking calm right up until it isn’t.In the first trading days of 2026, the tape has had that familiar, coiled feel: enough headline noise to keep traders alert, not enough conviction to force a real move.When crypto behaves like that, the next decisive push often doesn’t come from inside the industry at all.It comes from the bond market, the dollar, and the set of economic releases that reprice the cost of money in minutes.That’s why Monday, Jan. 5, matters.At 10:00 a.m. ET, the Institute for Supply Management will publish its Manufacturing PMI, a single report…

If 2024 was the year crypto reentered the mainstream through TV tickers and glossy ETF commercials, then 2025 was the year the market learned to live with that attention.It absorbed it, metabolized it, and let it shape how liquidity moved day to day.Some stories were loud and obvious. Spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in capital, and price charts arced and dipped with the cadence of macro prints.The more useful stories were quieter and lived in the market plumbing: who actually bought, who was underwater, which networks absorbed activity at tolerable cost, and which signals separated excitable rallies from robust advances.A thousand…

Bitcoin ended 2025 with a realized daily volatility of 2.24%, the lowest annual reading in the asset’s recorded history.K33 Research’s volatility chart stretches back to 2012, when Bitcoin saw daily moves of 7.58%, and shows steady compression through each cycle: 3.34% in 2022, 2.80% in 2024, and now 2.24% in 2025.Yet, the narrative doesn’t match the numbers. October’s drawdown from $126,000 to $80,500 felt brutal, and the tariff-driven liquidation on Oct. 10 wiped $19 billion in leveraged longs in a single day.The paradox: Bitcoin became less volatile by traditional measures while attracting larger capital flows and delivering larger absolute price…