Hyperliquid price analysis: Can HIP-4 prediction markets push HYPE above $62?

• HYPE must reclaim $62.16 to target the next resistance at $64.55.
• HIP-4 introduces permissionless prediction markets on Hyperliquid.
• Creating a market requires a 500,000 HYPE bond with slashing risk.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has spent the past month trading below its mid-June peak, but a major protocol upgrade is drawing fresh attention to the cryptocurrency.

The combination of a key technical setup and the upcoming HIP-4 permissionless prediction markets upgrade has revived hopes of another breakout attempt above $62.

HIP-4 introduces permissionless prediction markets on Hyperliquid

The proposed HIP-4 upgrade introduces permissionless prediction markets, allowing qualified participants to create markets directly on the network rather than relying on a centrally managed approval process.

Prediction markets enable users to trade on the outcomes of future events, including elections, sporting events, macroeconomic developments, and cryptocurrency-related milestones.

Instead of operating as a separate application, these markets will run on Hyperliquid’s existing trading infrastructure alongside spot and perpetual products.

The upgrade is designed to use the same order book, liquidity pools and trading accounts that already support the protocol’s broader ecosystem.

This approach allows prediction markets to integrate with Hyperliquid’s existing trading environment rather than creating a standalone platform.

A notable feature of HIP-4 is the economic requirement placed on market creators.

Anyone seeking to launch a permissionless prediction market must post a 500,000 HYPE bond before a market can go live.

Based on HYPE’s current price near $60.92, that requirement represents roughly $30.5 million worth of tokens.

The bond also carries slashing risk, meaning part or all of it can be forfeited if a market creator violates protocol rules or engages in malicious activity.

The mechanism is intended to strengthen accountability while protecting the integrity of markets created on the network.

The proposal also expands the practical role of HYPE within the protocol.

Beyond its existing functions, the token becomes a core economic requirement for launching new prediction markets, linking network participation directly to token ownership.

Hyperliquid price analysis

Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, was trading at $60.92 at the time of writing, down 0.2% over the past 24 hours.

During the same period, the token moved between $59.85 and $61.57, showing relatively tight price action.

Overall, the recent trend has been weaker over longer time frames, with HYPE declining 5.4% in the past seven days, 12% over the past two weeks, and 14.1% over the last 30 days.

Even so, the token remains 33.4% higher than it was a year ago, highlighting that the broader trend is still stronger than the recent pullback suggests.

From a historical perspective, HYPE is trading about 21.2% below its all-time high of $76.87, reached on June 16, 2026.

In addition, Hyperliquid continues to attract significant activity across its ecosystem.

The protocol currently secures approximately $6.069 billion in total value locked (TVL), while 24-hour trading volume stands at around $268.29 million, reflecting continued participation despite the recent decline in price.

Technical indicators place $62.16 in focus

Price action has now shifted attention to several technical levels that could determine HYPE’s next direction.

The first major resistance sits at $62.16. A confirmed daily close above that level would place the next resistance around $64.55, making $62.16 one of the most closely watched levels on the chart.

On the downside, HYPE is trading near an important support level at $60.74. Maintaining that level could help stabilise recent price action, while a break below it would shift attention toward the next support at $59.18.

Momentum indicators also show that the market has not reached an extreme condition.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) currently reads 42.89, placing it in neutral territory rather than in either overbought or oversold conditions.

The moving average structure, however, presents a mixed picture.

HYPE remains below its 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day exponential moving averages, indicating that short-term momentum is still under pressure.

However, the token continues to trade above both the 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, suggesting that the longer-term outlook remains intact despite the recent correction.