Solana price prediction: SOL risks drop to $100 despite institutional inflows

• Solana price hovered near $122 on January 26, 2026.
• ETFs’ inflows fail to influence SOL price.
• Technical indicators signal a bearish continuation and likely dump to $100.

Solana’s price has faced mounting downward pressure, with SOL failing to hold onto gains seen at the start of the year.

On January 26, the altcoin traded around $122, down on the day and in tandem with the broader cryptocurrency market struggles.

While River (RIVER) skyrocketed, and Algorand flipped green, Solana aligned with Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP’s latest price struggles.

The SOL token changed hands nearly 8% down from the prior week, losses that persist despite positive institutional signals.

Analysts are largely bullish, but the overall bearish trend concerns a potential short-term dump to the critical $100 support level.

Solana continues to attract institutional interest

SOL’s price dip comes as top coins shed capital from various investment products.

But despite institutional investors showing selective enthusiasm last week amid a $1.73 billion outflow hole, Solana stood out as one of those to record inflows.

According to CoinShares’ report, investors still put over $17 million in SOL products, including a spot exchange-traded fund.

Bitcoin saw over $1 billion in outflows in the same period.

Digital asset investment products recorded US$1.73B in outflows last week.@Bitcoin, @ethereum and XRP (@Ripple) all saw outflows totalling US$1.09B, US$630M and US$18.2M respectively, highlighting negative sentiment was broad-based. @solana bucked this trend with inflows of… pic.twitter.com/tefIwdc2zW

— CoinShares (@CoinSharesCo) January 26, 2026

A week earlier, digital asset products recorded $2.17 billion in inflows, with Solana attracting over $45.5 million.

“Dwindling expectations for interest rate cuts, negative price momentum and disappointment that digital assets have not participated in the debasement trade yet have likely fuelled these outflows,” said James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares.

The Solana-specific interest highlights its appeal amid broader market caution.

However, bulls have failed to stem the price slide from highs of $133 in the past week.

Factors like profit-taking after 2025 highs and macroeconomic headwinds appear to override these inflows, keeping SOL within a bearish hold.

SOL price prediction: Bears eye $100

With price touching the psychological support level of $120 again, analysts say bears could target $100 next.

Sellers last hovered in this region in April 2025, with the bounce that followed pushing prices to above $200.

The downtrend risks such an extended move, and technical indicators reinforce the overall bearish outlook.

For instance, the MACD displays negative momentum and histogram divergence signaling further downside.

Elsewhere, the daily RSI hovers neutral in the 40-46 bracket. Although not decisively oversold, it’s not supportive of a quick rebound.

Price could drop lower if the pressure exposes buyers to key levels around $118 and $112 if profit hunters take out the $120 mark.

Network fundamentals remaining robust is a play for buyers, both in the short-term and long-term. In this case, a sustained rebound above $130 could accelerate gains toward $150-$180.

The price level of $200 is the main target.