Toncoin price gains amid volume spike: is $2 next for TON?

• Toncoin price is up 4% as key metrics like volume and TVL rise.
• A breakout above the $1.50 zone could result in upside momentum.
• If broader sentiment doesn’t invalidate the outlook, the next target could be above $2.

Toncoin (TON) is demonstrating resilience as a challenging crypto market sees several altcoins slump to new lows.

The token trades around $1.37 with a modest 4% gain in 24 hours, and it’s seeing a notable surge in trading volume.

The total value locked is also up and highlights a potential strength that could embolden bulls and allow them to target the $2.00 mark.

Toncoin’s bullish outlook, however, could be tempered by the broader sentiment across major cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin, which trades around $65,800 as bulls struggle with macro headwinds, highlights the bearish dangers.

Toncoin gains amid volume spike

Toncoin’s intraday gains to $1.37 buck the trend that saw BTC dip to under $65k before posting a slight recovery.

Other coins, including Ethereum, BNB and XRP, have notched downward moves amid growing negative sentiment in an increasingly risk-averse environment.

The 25% spike in daily trading volume to $80 million reflects the cryptocurrency’s likely upward strength.

Buyers have also bumped up open interest in TON, currently at $182 million.

While long positions account for nearly 70% of the “rekt” value in the past 24 hours, data shows more shorts have been liquidated in the past 12 hours.

Additionally, TON’s Total Value Locked (TVL) in DeFi protocols has climbed to $165 million.

The global defi TVL stood at $204 billion at the time of writing, but was less than 0.7% up in the past 24 hours.

In comparison, TON had its TVL up by nearly 2% to signal increased interest in protocols on The Open Network.

Meanwhile, the stablecoin market cap on TON has also risen to $941 million, with USDT dominance at 79%.

These metrics suggest capital rotation into TON, rather than gains being driven by broad speculation.

TON price prediction: Is $2 next?

Toncoin approaches a pivotal technical juncture on the daily chart. Gains to intraday highs have bulls testing resistance from a descending trendline that has capped upside since late 2025.

A successful breakout could allow bulls to target the 50-day EMA. This hurdle currently sits near $1.48, a level aligning with recent consolidation zones and a key resistance line since Dec. 2024.

If the supply zone paves the way amid overall bullish sentiment, momentum could drive TON toward the 200-day EMA around $2.0.

This outlook might strengthen if neutral RSI readings near 43 flip higher and the daily MACD invalidates the bearish hint.

However, Bitcoin’s ongoing selloff pressure amid deleveraging and ETF outflows might pose a downward risk for the token.

Currently, macroeconomic headwinds have dragged BTC back to the $65k area.

A similar outlook for TON could bring the $1.12 support level into view.