Author: 行政
Since it’s pretty clear we’ve now seen this cycle’s bull market high, I’ve created an updated halving-cycle model built on four Bitcoin cycles.The model projects a cycle low near $35,000 in December 2026 after a 72.5% drawdown from a $126,219 cycle high.Inside the halving-cycle frameworkMy last model correctly marked both the 2021 and 2025 top timeframes. The new framework, “Akiba Cycle Model v2,” combines a 50,000-run Monte Carlo simulation with walk-forward validation and leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV).Bitcoin halving cycle price movementsIt breaks the cycle into three linked components: drawdown from a bull-market high to the subsequent cycle low, the number of…
A security flaw in a proposed XRP Ledger (XRPL) upgrade could have enabled unauthorized transactions, but researchers flagged the issue before it could reach the blockchain’s main network.The XRPL Foundation said Feb. 26 that the vulnerability was found in the proposed “Batch” amendment, a feature intended to let users bundle multiple actions into a single atomic transaction.Security researcher Pranamya Keshkamat and Cantina AI’s autonomous static-analysis tool, Apex, reported the issue Feb. 19, according to the foundation.If the amendment had been activated with the bug in place, an attacker could have executed inner transactions as if they were authorized by another…
Japan’s SBI Holdings will issue a ¥10 billion retail bond on March 24, but the story is the XRP perk dangled in front of buyers, conditional on opening an account at SBI VC Trade and completing receipt procedures by noon on May 11.Pricing drops on March 10, subscription runs from March 11-23, and secondary trading launches on March 25 on Osaka Digital Exchange’s START platform.The timeline shows SBI’s bond subscription window from March 11-23, 2026, with the XRP perk requiring account setup by May 11, 2026.The bond itself is a conventional three-year instrument. XRP is a marketing lever designed to…
Bitcoin’s rally is riding record $1.279 trillion margin debt, and the unwind could arrive without warningBitcoin’s next phase is being shaped by a record build in U.S. market leverage, recession-leaning survey data and an expanding Treasury buyback program that is aimed at bond-market plumbing rather than monetary easing.Those inputs show up across FINRA’s margin statistics, an Associated Press report on consumer confidence and the Treasury’s Feb. 4 quarterly refunding statement.A post from The Kobeissi Letter put the January jump in brokerage margin borrowing at about $53 billion.It framed the move as another step in a stretch of monthly increases and…
Google Cloud, MoneyGram, Vodafone’s Pairpoint, and eToro will run launch-phase nodes on Midnight, a zero-knowledge privacy network targeting a mainnet launch at the end of March 2026.The pitch isn’t anonymity, but selective disclosure. It’s the ability to prove compliance or settlement eligibility without broadcasting raw customer data onto a public ledger.Midnight’s Kūkolu mainnet launches at the end of March 2026 with federated operators, with a transition to broader decentralization planned but not yet scheduled.Midnight describes these operators as “federated,” meaning a limited, named set running the protocol under explicit coordination rules to prioritize uptime and operational stability during the Kūkolu…
The one-click DeFi access could unlock idle XRP liquidity for Flare’s ecosystem. The FLR token price remains weak amid low liquidity and cautious market sentiment. The immediate support level for Flare (FLR) sits near $0.00963, with downside risk if this support breaks. Flare (FLR) cryptocurrency price is pulling back after a recovery attempt that pushed it to a high of $0.009826 on February 28, following the news of Flare rolling out one-click DeFi access for XRP token holders through a partnership with Xaman. This comes as FLR cryptocurrency trades near multi-month lows, raising an important question about whether fundamentals can…
Designs for a proposed 2026 Semiquincentennial $1 coin featuring President Donald Trump, publicly available since at least December, have moved through the federal review process, spotlighting both the artwork and the broader debate surrounding living figures on U.S. coinage. Candidate designs recommended by the CFA for the 2026 Semiquincentennial Trump $1 coin, with the commission suggesting removal of the Liberty Bell and recentering the eagle on the reverse. The $1 coin would appear golden in color, sharing the same manganese-brass clad composition and dimensions as the earlier Sacagawea dollar and the newer Native American and American Innovation dollars. Tradition &…
CryptoSlate Daily BriefKnow what moved crypto, and why it matters, in 5 minutes.A free, daily email with the signal, the context, and what to watch next. Join 100k+ readers 5-minute read No hype, just signalMarket-moving stories, explained clearlyOn-chain and macro context, not hypeOne email each morning, freeYou’re in – welcome to the Daily Brief.Please add [email protected] to your email whitelist. Don’t show this message againAlpha#Bitcoin #drops #inflation #hots #quiet #services #spike #changed #rate #cut #story1772209673
Kaspa price currently mirrors the broader market, with Bitcoin struggling. The KAS token recently bounced off $0.028 and is holding $0.03. If a decisive breakout materializes amid likely catalysts, bulls could target $0.10 in the coming months. Kaspa (KAS) price has declined by 22% over the past month and by over 64% since its peak above $0.13 in May 2025. The token trades near $0.03, but remains in an extended downtrend amid prevailing weakness across the crypto market. Friday’s session saw Bitcoin retest lows of $65,600, and Ethereum dip to near $1,900, a move that pinned most altcoins lower, including…
Bitcoin has rebounded from an early-February slide that briefly pushed it to $60,000 and produced its most oversold signal on record, easing some of the pressure that has weighed on crypto markets.According to CryptoSlate’s data, the flagship digital asset has steadied in recent days and briefly approached the $70,000 mark before settling around $67,300 as of press timeThis price action helped improve the broader market sentiment because it coincided with a three-day stretch of net inflows into US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), their strongest run this month.At the same time, the market is showing signs of improved spot demand…