Author: 行政

Prediction-market traders are giving the United States a narrow edge over Belgium after FIFA cleared striker Folarin Balogun to play in Monday’s World Cup round-of-16 match, a decision that followed direct lobbying from US President Donald Trump and triggered criticism from European soccer officials.Prices on Polymarket showed the US with about a 39% chance of winning in regulation time, compared with 35% for Belgium and 29% for a draw. The market has drawn more than $6 million in bets as of press time.US Belgium Prediction Market (Source: Polymarket)A separate Polymarket market priced Balogun at about 90% to appear in the…

Key takeaways Bitcoin is trading below $64,000 after rallying more than 6% last week. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $526.64 million in net outflows, marking an eighth consecutive week of withdrawals. Renewed geopolitical concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz are limiting demand for risk assets. Bitcoin (BTC) is trading slightly lower on Monday after climbing more than 6% last week, with buyers struggling to push the cryptocurrency above the key $64,000 resistance level. Although last week’s rebound improved short-term sentiment, persistent institutional selling and renewed geopolitical uncertainty continue to cap upside momentum. For now, Bitcoin remains caught between improving technical…

BlackRock’s 1% to 2% Bitcoin allocation range reads as a bullish nod to advisor adoption, but it also works as a boundary. Once Bitcoin is included in a model portfolio, its upside runs through rebalancing bands, tax location, and sometimes a loan that keeps the position intact.BlackRock Investment Institute frames 1% to 2% as a reasonable multi-asset range, provided the investor believes in continued adoption and can stomach sharp drops.The firm sizes the position based on its contribution to overall portfolio risk, and that risk climbs quickly in a standard 60/40 mix. A 1% Bitcoin allocation adds roughly 2% to…

Key takeaways Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP started the week holding onto last week’s strong gains. Ethereum is approaching its 50-day EMA near $1,806, a key hurdle for extending its recovery. Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) began the week on a constructive note after surging over 6%, 13% and 10% in the previous week.  BTC holds steady below $63,000, ETH approaches a key technical resistance at $1,800, while XRP has broken above the upper boundary of a falling channel, strengthening the bullish outlook. Ethereum tests key resistance near the 50-Day EMA Ethereum (ETH) is also extending last week’s recovery…

The CLARITY Act’s two biggest obstacles are moving in opposite directions this week. Law enforcement opposition is softening, while the ethics fight over crypto conflicts of interest is sharpening.Before this week, forecasters and prediction markets already had CLARITY at a coin flip of becoming law in 2026. The core blockers were floor time, an open ethics dispute, anti-money-laundering language, and developer-liability fights over Section 604.That provision is the safe harbor protecting software developers who never control user funds.IssueBefore this weekAfter this weekOdds impactSection 604 developer safe harborMajor law-enforcement objectionMCSA moves to neutral; NOBLE endorsesPositiveLaw-enforcement narrativeOpponents had momentumLaw enforcement is now…

A Sunday Times investigation alleges Reform UK leader Nigel Farage received undisclosed backing for staff, security and housing from George Cottrell, potentially breaching MPs’ disclosure rules. Cottrell, who served eight months in a US federal prison for wire fraud, later became involved with Tether.bet, an offshore crypto gambling platform accused of serving UK customers unlicensed. The report also links Reform donor and Tether stakeholder Christopher Harborne to the platform’s founding, allegations Farage’s party has dismissed as “baseless and contrived.” Nigel Farage received extensive undisclosed financial support from a convicted fraudster with ties to an offshore crypto gambling operation, a Sunday…

Europe’s MiCA deadline has now entered the phase in which licenses begin to shape distribution.The first wave of concern centered on which platforms European users could still reach after July 1. The next phase is more structural. MiCA is deciding which issuers, banks, asset servicers, and app providers can continue offering stablecoins and crypto products to customers within the regulated market.ESMA says MiCA creates uniform EU rules for crypto-asset issuers and service providers, covering transparency, disclosure, authorization and supervision. Its interim MiCA register was last updated on July 3, two days after the transitional period for many existing crypto-asset service…

Vitalik Buterin described “Lean Ethereum” as the network’s third major overhaul, comparable in scale to the Merge, spanning a three-to-four-year phased rebuild. A redesigned data-storage tier is the most disruptive element, one Buterin says could cut fees for some simple applications by more than tenfold without forcing legacy apps to rewrite code. Complex systems such as Uniswap would stay on the existing setup, while quantum resistance and privacy move to the front of the roadmap’s priorities. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has laid out a sweeping multi-year roadmap dubbed “Lean Ethereum,” framing it as the network’s third major reinvention on a…

Stablecoin supply on the XRP Ledger has climbed to nearly $890 million, up 20.56% over the past 30 days. Ripple’s RLUSD explains almost all of that size, and a second dollar token is reshaping who issues XRPL’s dollars: Valtorum’s USDV, now at $39.3 million.RLUSD accounts for $844.58 million of that total (94.9%), USDV holds $39.3 million (4.4%), while USDC trails at just $3.7 million.That climb is happening against a shrinking backdrop, as the global stablecoin market is at $311.39 billion, down 2.31% over the same 30-day period. XRPL is moving in the opposite direction to the broader market, even though…

Bitcoin climbed to US$63,450 on Saturday before settling near US$62,700, the level of its closely watched 200-week moving average. A short squeeze drove the move, with about US$167 million in crypto positions liquidated over 24 hours as forced buying lifted the price. Traders flagged that the past seven Mondays have all delivered sell-offs, leaving the market split on whether the rally survives the new week. Bitcoin (BTC) surged toward US$63,500 (AU$91,617) over the weekend on the back of a short squeeze, only for traders to caution that a punishing pattern of Monday sell-offs could unwind the gains as soon as…